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247Sports · MichaelMcCammon

Sep 20
ESPN FPI projected results ahead of Louisville vs Wake Forest
Summary
Pick/market: 16 Louisville (2-1, 1-0) opened ACC play with a win over nationally-ranked SMU at L&N Stadium on Saturday.
No. 16 Louisville (2-1, 1-0) opened ACC play with a win over nationally-ranked SMU at L&N Stadium on Saturday. The win, a second straight for the Cardinals, lifted the team in the latest ESPN Football Power Index. Up next for the Cardinals is Wake Forest at L&N Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 26 at 12:00 p.m. The Demon Deacons (2-1, 0-1) are coming off a 33-20 home loss to No. 6 Miami. The ESPN Football Power Index has updated following the latest weekend of football and Louisville climbed five spots to No. 23, while Wake Forest sits at No. 54. The FPI Matchup Predictor indicates a Louisville victory, giving the Cardinals an 80.1% chance of winning. The ESPN FPI top five has Ohio State edging out Texas, followed by Georgia, Notre Dame and Indiana to complete the top five. Texas has the highest percentage of winning the national championship at 17.6%. The ESPN FPI has Miami at the top of the ACC, followed by Louisville, Pittsburgh, SMU and Virginia. ESPN states that its Football Power Index "is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily. FPI data from seasons prior to 2019 may not be complete."  Continue scrolling for all game-by-game projections. Louisville's remaining strength of schedule is No. 66, per the FPI, which gives the team an 97.1% chance of winning at least six games.  OVERALL FPI METRICS FPI Score: 11.9 FPI Rank: 23 (+5) Projected W-L: 8.7-3.7 Chances of Winning Out: 7.0% Chances of Winning Six Games: 97.1%  Chances of Winning Conference: 14.1%   Chances of Reaching Playoff: 20.4%  Chances of Making Nat'l Championship: 1.1% Chances of Winning Nat'l Championship: 0.4% Here's the game-by-game look: Sept. 6 vs Ole Miss (Nashville, Tenn.) ESPN FPI Predicted Winner: Ole Miss Predictor: 69.1% Opponent FPI Rank: 14 Opponent W/L Projection: 7-5 OUTCOME: Ole Miss win, 41-38, on last-second field goal Louisville is now 0-2 all-time vs Ole Miss.

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Teams: Louisville

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