Explosive play counts
Summary
Pick/market: Digging in a little deeper.
Digging in a little deeper. So all coaches define explosive plays differently. Explosive rush plays are typically in the 10-12 yard range and explosive pass plays are in the 15-20 yard range. Coach Riley I remember telling me his 'explosive' plays were 20+ yards, so that is what I went with originally.
Coaches like to aim for 2 explosive plays per drive as analytics have shown that drives that have 2 or more explosive plays have a substantially higher chance of scoring a TD (60-70%)
I updated my run metrics to base the count on the following: Run plays of 10+ yards and Pass plays of 17+ yards (took a middle number between 15 & 20).
One thing we can look at is the explosive play margin of the explosive plays and yardage gained - the explosive plays and yardage gained by the opponents. According to one source, analytics have shown the team that wins the explosive play margin, will win the game over 85% of the time.
Looking at the new metrics and margin:
Game
OSU explosive plays
Opponent explosive plays
OSU yards
Opponent yards
Houston
7
13
213
345
Texas Tech
12
6
318
131
Montana
11
6
268
107
Total
30
25
799
583
Team
Explosive passes
Explosive rushes
Total
Oregon State
25
5
30
Opponents
12
13
25
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Teams:
Oregon State
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