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Podcast: Big Bets On Campus Episode: College Football Offseason Update | Part 1 Segment: BYU podcast segment **Team-Specific Podcast Notes** - Notre Dame’s **11.5 win total** is being priced like an elite team, but Duck flagged **BYU at Provo** as a tough road spot and said the Irish are **not a must-lay at this number**. - **Kansas State:** Calabrese likes the staff combo of **Colin Klein** and **Sean Gleason** to maximize **Avery Johnson**. He pointed out a favorable schedule with **five of the first six at home** and no Texas Tech / Utah / BYU on the slate. **Actionable Picks / Plays Mentioned** - It's just a situation where the schedule gets tougher in Big 12 league play. - These guys are projected to be laying over a touchdown, over 7.5, against Boston College and Miami of Ohio, and I can tell you with absolute certainty I'm looking to fade Cincinnati against both of those teams. - They do play my third toughest Big 12 schedule per my metrics, and I just don't see this team being able to consistently get on a roll and stack the wins together. - when you look at the schedule, they have to play 6 of the top 7 projected finishers in my Big 12. **Top Team-Specific Takeaways** - the offensive line surrendered its fair share of havoc, and that doesn't even chart the havoc that Sorsby was able to wiggle out of or avoid. - French isn't really gonna be able to do that, so I think the defense is going to be put in worse positions this year. - even with the great quarterback talent, if you just go back and look at the close of the season after they started 7-1, it was atrocious against Utah, Arizona, BYU, TCU, and then in the bowl game loss against Navy. - There's just too many tough games on the schedule. **Transcript Context** - the offensive line surrendered its fair share of havoc, and that doesn't even chart the havoc that Sorsby was able to wiggle out of or avoid. - French isn't really gonna be able to do that, so I think the defense is going to be put in worse positions this year. - They're going to perform less effectively than they were able to in 2025. Transcript excerpt: And the offensive line surrendered its fair share of havoc, and that doesn't even chart the havoc that Sorsby was able to wiggle out of or avoid. French isn't really gonna be able to do that, so I think the defense is going to be put in worse positions this year. They're going to perform less effectively than they were able to in 2025. And even with the great quarterback talent, if you just go back and look at the close of the season after they started 7-1, it was atrocious against Utah, Arizona, BYU, TCU, and then in the bowl game loss against Navy. It's just a situation where the schedule gets tougher in Big 12 league play. These guys are projected to be laying over a touchdown, over 7.5, against Boston College and Miami of Ohio, and I can tell you with absolute certainty I'm looking to fade Cincinnati against both of those teams. They do play my third toughest Big 12 schedule per my metrics, and I just don't see this team being able to consistently get on a roll and stack the wins together. I don't have Cincinnati making a bowl game this season, and I really... when you look at the schedule, they have to play 6 of the top 7 projected finishers in my Big 12. There's just too many tough games on the schedule. There's too many unwinnable games, in my opinion. Kansas State, Arizona, even at West Virginia, who I think could emerge. Texas Tech, Utah, Houston. I don't think they win a game in that stretch. The only Big 12 league game that I'm really confident that Cincinnati should be a favorite in and will, in all likelihood, win is when they host Colorado, but by that point, it might be too little too late. They close the season at BYU, so if they do happen to be 5-6 vying for a bowl game, they're going to Provo in the end of the year. That's just going to be absolute murder's row. So I want no part of this team making a bowl game this year. I don't think they're going to. I think it's 5-7 or even likely 4-8, and I think that there's an opportunity maybe for Cincinnati to try to assess if they need to pull the plug and go in a different direction, because I'm just not a real big fan of Satterfield, and we've seen him kind of underperform at times in his tenure everywhere he's gone. All right, bigger loss. Soursby or the godfather, Corleone, in the trenches, because I think, as I just mentioned, in terms of a front-four monster player that can impact, usually I'm talking more about the edge and the pass rush, but he was someone who was either blowing up plays or at least eating up two blocks. He's someone who, unfortunately, because of his medical history and blood clots, he ended up going undrafted, but he was a huge difference maker in the Big 12 last year, and really the only, you know, thing that they can hang their hat on defensively, which at least they were stout in the middle. Which do you think is going to be the bigger loss? Like, in a dream scenario, a combination of French and, you know, some of their backup quarterbacks or gadget plays, at least, you know, to keep up the offensive floor.