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Kansas State's injury-depleted offensive line is the roster's dominant risk and could prevent Avery Johnson and the otherwise promising skill group from reaching their offensive ceiling against stronger defenses.

The rest of Kansas State's roster emerged from fall camp relatively healthy, concentrating rather than spreading its availability problems.

Nicholls scored touchdowns of 59 and 74 yards in Week 0, making explosive-play prevention the main opening-game test for Kansas State's defense.

Saturday will be Jordan Peterson's first game calling plays and Collin Klein's first as a head coach, creating some expected early operational risk despite a major talent and coaching advantage.

The source's 7-5 projection gives Kansas State a strong bowl probability but a low conference-title outlook that depends on both line survival and the perceived soft schedule holding up.