Week one preview: Can Boise State pull off the upset against #2 Oregon?
Summary
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Boise State enters the Oregon opener as a 24.5-point underdog with a 51.5 total in the highest-ranked opponent matchup and largest underdog spot the Broncos have seen in 25 seasons.
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Oregon's defense is framed as an elite Dan Lanning unit designed to stop inside-zone and RPO-heavy offenses while forcing outside-zone runs and perimeter one-on-one wins.
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Boise State's offensive path is to run well enough to unlock play action, attack Oregon linebackers with misdirection, crossing routes, and play action, and feature tight end Matt Wagner against that level.
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Boise State's defense needs its front four and Erik Chinander to pressure Dante Moore, whose prior pressure splits included a 57.5 completion rate with three touchdowns and three interceptions.
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The final prediction expects Oregon to win 38-10 because Boise State's offense may struggle against Oregon's pass rush and Maddux Madsen has documented problems against power-conference opponents.
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Teams:
Boise StateOregon
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