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Noles247 staff predictions all picked SMU over Florida State, with projected margins ranging from four points to eighteen points.
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The staff repeatedly identified SMU's quarterback stability, offensive line, tempo, and coaching advantage under Rhett Lashlee as matchup edges over Florida State.
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Florida State's defense was criticized for passive coverage, limited havoc, and doubts about whether the defensive line can pressure Kevin Jennings or hold up against SMU's veteran front.
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Florida State's offense is viewed as needing Ashton Daniels to run actively, let throws rip, involve Duce Robinson more, and create balance to offset offensive-line issues.
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One case for Florida State was that it had a Week Zero warmup, home field, and game-day setting, but most staffers still expected SMU to pull away late.