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247Sports · J Wedrogowski

Sep 11
Duke–Illinois preview & prediction: Is Nate Enough?
Summary
Pick/market: It doesn't really - 1 week of football is a crazy small sample size, so you can pick out anything that happened and argue it's either a fluke or a sign of things to...
95Duke said... (original post) Only two of those were pass plays. And they were well executed and well run pass plays. Not sure why it being an anmoaly changes what we are talking... show more It doesn't really - 1 week of football is a crazy small sample size, so you can pick out anything that happened and argue it's either a fluke or a sign of things to come. I more wanted to point out "wow, that was weird." 3rd down conversion rates settle at a median around 40% for a season, and success rate is pretty strongly correlated with having fewer yards-to-go. So hitting 5 in a row from a distance where likelihood of success is below that median is really interesting to me

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Teams: Duke

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