ESPN FPI projected results ahead of Louisville vs SMU
Summary
Pick/market: 24 Louisville (1-1) will begin ACC play when it hosts No.
No. 24 Louisville (1-1) will begin ACC play when it hosts No. 17 SMU (2-0) at L&N Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Louisville is coming off a 59-13 win Villanova on Friday night to notch the team's first win of the season, while SMU downed UC Davis, 56-10, to start 2-0. The Mustangs opened their season with an ACC win at Florida State.
The ESPN Football Power Index has updated following the latest weekend of football and Louisville remains unchanged at No. 28, while SMU slipped four spots to No. 24. The FPI Matchup Predictor indicates a close contest by giving Louisville a slight 52.8% chance of winning.
Despite the thrilling comeback win for Texas over Ohio State on Saturday night, the Buckeyes remain atop the latest FPI ratings. Ohio State slightly edges out Texas, followed by Notre Dame, Georgia and Miami to complete the top five. Texas has the highest percentage of winning the national championship at 19.7%, followed by Ohio State and Notre Dame.
The ESPN FPI has Miami at the top of the ACC, followed by SMU, Virginia, Louisville and Pittsburgh.
ESPN states that its Football Power Index "is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily. FPI data from seasons prior to 2019 may not be complete."
Continue scrolling for all game-by-game projections.
Louisville's remaining strength of schedule is No. 64, per the FPI, which gives the team an 88.9% chance of winning at least six games.
OVERALL FPI METRICS
FPI Score: 11.9
FPI Rank: 28 (---)
Projected W-L: 7.8-4.4
Chances of Winning Out: 2.4%
Chances of Winning Six Games: 88.9%
Chances of Winning Conference: 6.5%
Chances of Reaching Playoff: 10.0%
Chances of Making Nat'l Championship: 0.4%
Chances of Winning Nat'l Championship: 0.1%
Here's the game-by-game look:
Sept. 6 vs Ole Miss (Nashville, Tenn.)
ESPN FPI Predicted Winner: Ole Miss
Predictor: 69.1%
Opponent FPI Rank: 14
Opponent W/L Projection: 7-5
OUTCOME: Ole Miss win, 41-38, on last-second field goal
Louisville is now 0-2 all-time vs Ole Miss.
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