side / Cincinnati
64% evidence confidence
Cincinnati brings the stronger offensive baseline to Arizona
Cincinnati enters with 269.7 rushing yards per game at 6.3 per carry, 491.7 total yards per game and a 51% third-down conversion rate. Arizona's packet includes ongoing offensive-line concerns, giving the Bearcats the more reliable offensive profile.
Counter: Cincinnati has allowed 241.3 passing yards per game at 7.2 per attempt, leaving room for Arizona to answer through the air.
Monitor: Whether Cincinnati's ground game keeps the Bearcats ahead of the chains from the opening series.
Cincinnati enters its 2026 Kansas State matchup averaging 269.7 rushing yards at 6.3 per carry and 491.7 total yards at 6.8 per play, with a 51% third-down conversion rate. Its listed 100% red-zone scoring rate includes scores of either kind; the table does not establish a 100% touchdown rate or supply trip counts.
OL: For Noah and the offensive line issues, I really like rolling him out.
Cincinnati's 2026 Kansas State-week figures show 346.3 yards allowed per game at 5.6 per play, including 241.3 passing yards at 7.2 per attempt and 105 rushing yards at 3.7 per carry. The team also averages 71.3 penalty yards per game. These are current defensive and discipline indicators, not an announced scheme change.