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Preview & Prediction: No. 6 Indiana vs. North Texas
- Indiana is a 40.5-point favorite with a 46.5 total against North Texas, and ESPN FPI gives the Hoosiers a 98.2 percent win chance.
- Indiana should be stronger and deeper at running back with Turbo Richard, Khobie Martin, and Lee Beebe Jr., and the preview expects the Hoosiers to lean heavily on the run before Big Ten play.
- North Texas' offensive line is a major concern after Neal Brown said during fall camp that only two linemen were ready to play, creating a bad matchup against Indiana's projected defensive front.
- The prediction is Indiana 45, North Texas 3 because North Texas is missing two top cornerbacks and may struggle to keep Tayven Jackson clean against Indiana pressure.
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Indiana football: 5 biggest X-factors who could swing the 2026 season (DEFENSE)
- Indiana's second starting cornerback job remains unsettled between Penn State transfer A.J. Harris and Ryland Gandy after injuries caused both players to miss portions of fall camp.
- Sophomore Byron Baldwin Jr. is positioned to start at rover and serve as a movable defensive piece in coverage, run support and corner blitzes, although his limited college experience creates missed-assignment risk.
- Kansas State transfer Chiddi Obiazor will primarily play strong-side defensive end but can shift to three-technique on passing downs or outside in short-yardage packages.
- Wisconsin transfer Preston Zachman returns from a season-ending 2025 injury with 35 games and seven career interceptions and is expected to replace Louis Moore as a versatile starting safety.
- Defensive tackle Mario Landino returns alongside Tyrique Tucker and could receive more one-on-one pass-rush opportunities because opponents must account for Indiana's broader front-seven depth.
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Weaver & Kelly's Podcast: Final Indiana Fall Camp Takeaways | Big Ten Most Overrated, Underrated Teams
- Indiana returns only four offensive starters, six defensive starters and one special-teams starter from its 2025 national-title team.
- Indiana added the No. 8 transfer class, led by quarterback Josh Hoover, receiver Nick Marsh and edge defender Tobi Osunsanmi, with Joe Brunner, A.J. Harris and Turbo Richard also arriving as four-star transfers.
- ESPN's FPI projects Indiana to finish 10-2 with a 57.1% playoff probability, an 18.7% chance to win the Big Ten and a 6.4% chance to repeat as national champion.
- SP+ ranks Indiana fifth overall with a 10-win expectation, including the No. 7 offense, No. 4 defense and No. 22 special teams.
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Podcast: Big Ten Win Totals Part 1: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan & MORE | Preseason AP Poll Reaction! 👀
- Indiana's offensive and defensive lines were both described as stacked, making line play a core strength for a team priced at 10.5 wins.
- The offensive line will face a more demanding schedule than Indiana encountered in its first two Big Ten seasons under the current staff.
- With fewer portal additions, Indiana is relying more heavily on retention and internal development to sustain its line quality.
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